What’s coming for news in 2026? These predictions offer a clue
For 16 years now, we’ve asked smart people what they think will happen in the coming year in the world of journalism and digital media. And this year’s collection of predictions, published last month, is the biggest — and, I think, the best — yet. (I may be uniquely qualified to make that judgment, as I am certainly the only human to have read all 1,881 predictions we’ve ever published.)
But I’m certainly aware that sorting through all those predictions — 210 this year — can be a lot. Every year, there are nuggets of gold that don’t get the attention I think they deserve, and it can be hard to determine a prediction’s topic from a headline alone.
So to help you find the ones that might be most valuable to you, I’ve divided those 210 predictions into 21 categories: AI slop and disinformation, AI strategy, AI tools and workflows, audience fatigue, business models, collaboration and ecosystems, coverage choices, creators and independents, diversity and representation, editorial strategy, global and exiled journalism, journalism education, local news and placemaking, newsroom culture, platforms and tech, press freedom and democracy, product thinking, social media and vertical video, storycraft and format, the human premium, and trust and verification. And I’ve highlighted some of our favorites — the ones whose ideas have stuck with me and other Nieman Lab staffers most. May your 2026 be better than your 2025.
AI strategy
- Anita Li / The AI winners won’t be the biggest newsrooms
- Burt Herman / Forget “Google Zero.” We need to talk about “People Zero.”
- Chase Davis / A renaissance for structured journalism
- Damon Kiesow / Publishers fight Big Tech with small local language models
- Derek Willis / Local news organizations discover the value of their own archives
- Edward Roussel / Media companies will find opportunity and threat in AI
- Erin B. Logan / AI isn’t the threat anymore. Avoiding it is.
- Jennifer Brandel / AI will reinvent local news
- Jim Friedlich / We won’t get fooled again (we hope)
- Maryana Iskander / The AI winners will recognize that knowledge needs humans
- Ulrike Langer / Local news starts becoming local infrastructure
AI slop and disinformation
- Annie Rudd / Newsrooms will embrace some AI-generated imagery
- Charlie Beckett / We’ll stop worrying and learn to love the misinformation bomb
- Davey Alba / In 2026, AI will outwrite humans
- Karissa Bell / Newsrooms will reckon with AI slop
- Jon Keegan / A tech company will claim to have achieved AGI. The news media won’t be ready.
AI tools and workflows
- Cindy Royal / News product teams are uniquely positioned to unlock AI value
- Daniel Trielli / The rise of agentic journalism
- Ernest Kung / Big newsrooms pave the way for AI agents in journalism
- Francesco Marconi / Pre-news systems become mainstream
- Javaun Moradi / Automation arrives in newsrooms
- Jesenia De Moya Correa / Vibe coding to empower communities
- Kawandeep Virdee / Rise of the vibecoding journalists
- Matt Waite / The rise of the throwaway news app
- Nikita Roy / AI will rewrite the architecture of the newsroom
- Rubina Madan Fillion / AI turns the firehose into a funnel
- Seth C. Lewis / AI breaks the hamster wheel of journalism
Audience fatigue
- Carla Zanoni / Short-form video drives reach. That’s exactly the problem.
- Jessica Parker Gilbert / Escaping the sad AI internet
- Julio Ricardo Varela / Audiences are sick of being treated as consumers
- Rasmus Kleis Nielsen / The diploma divide continues to grow
- Samantha Ragland / Local newsrooms will play more
- Stephanie Edgerly / Joy — not just fatigue — will shape news habits in 2026
Business models
- Amy Mitchell / Journalism producers will (re)see their product as a business
- Chris Krewson / 3 big risks catch up with some indie publishers in 2026
- Christiaan Mader / Journalism realizes it has a business talent problem
- Damaso Reyes / A reckoning comes for journalism philanthropy
- David Skok / Publishers will see no meaningful AI licensing revenue
- Ebony Reed / Revenue diversity is the path forward
- Francis Zierer / Every media business becomes an events business
- John Saroff / The return of the media brand
- Lance Knobel / The gap between nonprofit and for-profit local news will widen
- Meredith Artley / The walls around public media keep coming down
- Nicholas Thompson / The year AI companies pay for the value of publishing
- Pablo Boczkowski / The closing of the shop
- Sam Koppelman / Local investigative reporting will make money again
- Steve Waldman / We’ll finally see new forms of financing for local news
Collaboration and ecosystems
- Adam Thomas / Journalism becomes a house of commons
- Andrew Haeg / The year of the network
- Dale R. Anglin / Local networks, not silver bullets, will sustain local news
- Ethan Toven-Lindsey / Public media will stop acting like a legacy airline
- Jody Brannon / Surfacing deserving stories to share becomes easier
- Joni Deutsch / Podcasts can save public media (seriously)
- Joshua P. Darr / The divide between consolidation and collaboration deepens
- Kerri Hoffman / Public media sees infrastructure as its next act of service
- Laxmi Parthasarathy / Mission over masthead: The case for radical collaboration
- Linda Solomon Wood / How to slay a Trojan Horse
- Mallory Johns / Coalition — not consolidation — is the key to independent media’s survival
- Rachel Glickhouse / Newsrooms invest in editorial partnerships
- Rachel Lobdell / Creator partnerships are ripe for opportunities, if newsrooms do the work
- Saba Long / Collaboration becomes civic memory
- Steve Henn / Public media’s next act
Coverage choices
- Akoto Ofori-Atta / The year we all algorithm-proof our audiences
- Andrea Faye Hart / Journalism can learn from the Southern reproductive justice movement
- Anjulie Rao / Cultural reporting in the new culture wars
- Benjamin Toff / Rethinking the news experience
- Brian Moritz / Sports media gets much tougher on sports gambling
- Gabe Schneider / Shame will haunt New York Times leadership
- Jacob L. Nelson / Journalists will acknowledge the apathetic audience
- John Herrman / The media will become terminally addicted to gambling
- Lachlan Cartwright / Scoops will matter more than ever
- Mael Vallejo / We’ll realize there’s no political journalism without tech journalism
- Ritvvij Parrikh / Google will look beyond volume journalism
- S. Mitra Kalita / The political journalism that matters most will be built from the ground up
- Sarah Marshall / A myth-busting quiz to get you set for 2026
Creators and independents
- Cory Corrine / The future of news is people, bots, and the avatars we trust
- Dominic-Madori Davis / Adapting is the only way to survive
- Jakob Moll / The pedestal we’ve placed “journalism” on will crumble. And that’s brilliant.
- Jeremy Gilbert / Publishers will finally learn to truly value news creators
- Jessica Maddox / De-influencing news influencers
- Jonathan Hunt / Publisher investments fizzle, creator investments sizzle
- Julia Angwin / Audiences will increasingly direct news coverage — for better and for worse
- Julia Munslow / Why creator-journalists, not brands, will get invited to the party
- Liz Kelly Nelson / The creator infrastructure gap will define journalism’s next chapter
- Mitali Mukherjee / News creators help publishers get back in the ring
- P. Kim Bui / Small acts take center stage
- Vanessa K. De Luca / Independent publishers set the agenda
Diversity and representation
- Danielle C. Belton / DEI dies in darkness, taking integrity with it
- Delano Massey / The year we stop pretending the industry has changed
- Eliza Anyangwe / A time for clear-eyed conviction — and courage
- Francisco Vara-Orta / The DEI whiplash continues
- James Salanga / Cis journalists stop putting trans people’s existence up for debate
- Jenny Choi / Newsrooms reckon with how collective identities have changed
- Lilly Workneh / Cultural fluency is the strongest currency for media in 2026
- Maritza L. Félix / Migrant joy as an act of resistance
Editorial strategy
- Alexandra Borchardt / Editors will start tackling the 5% challenge — and it won’t be fun
- Amy L. Kovac-Ashley / Local news learns to love the arts again
- AX Mina / News organizations will solidify their moats — and build their bridges
- David Sleight / Finding a candle in the dark
- LaSharah S. Bunting / Newsrooms build the muscle to survive many futures at once
- Lauren Gustus / We will stop freaking out about AI
- Leon Yin / Crowdsourced accountability reporting shines a brighter light on Big Tech
- Nik Usher / The year journalists abandon the press conference
- Rick Berke / We stop chasing chaos
- Sabrina Hersi Issa / Journalism will break from the hero narrative
- Sarah Alvarez / We address the cracks in our foundation
- Sharon Moshavi / Journalists will start asking the right questions
- Sumi Aggarwal / We’ve been serving the wrong audience
- Sydette Harry / Journalism will ask better questions and listen to different answers
- Tom Rosenstiel / The press realizes where it’s failed and starts to change
Global and exiled journalism
- Amie Ferris-Rotman / New global perspectives will hit your inbox
- Faisal Karimi / Exiled journalism’s biggest threat is something more mundane than censorship
- Jaemark Tordecilla / As AI sharpens media’s class divide, lessons from the global majority
- José J. Nieves / Exiled media will leave grant dependency behind
- Kavitha Rajagopalan / Protecting immigrant journalists has to be an industry-wide priority
- Sipho Kings / We guarantee the death of most remaining newsrooms
Journalism education
- Alfred Hermida / The year of wonder
- Chatwan Mongkol / J-schools will formalize the creator economy education
- Jan Lauren Boyles / Journalism education will reflect student conviction
- Joan Donovan / Everyone is a journal-ish
- Joe Amditis / Please learn how to use your computer
- Justin Rushing / Young journalists force the industry to change — whether it’s ready or not
- Nushin Rashidian / Student journalists rise to an unprecedented challenge
Local news and placemaking
- Annemarie Dooling / Local news touches grass
- Elizabeth Green / A civic revival begins locally
- Andrew Losowsky / Journalism actually shows up
- Dana Lacey / The newsroom becomes a commons
- Garry Pierre-Pierre / The future of news is happening where no one is looking
- Mike Orren / The growth hackers come to your town
- Robert Hernandez / They’re not coming
- Sam Ford / Placemaking will become a priority (again) for local/regional media
- Sarabeth Berman / We’ll celebrate the journalists who weave communities together
- Terry Parris Jr. / Journalism establishes a physical presence
Newsroom culture
- Hamilton Nolan / More organizing in the new, weird media landscape
- Katya Gorchinskaya / Journalism job postings will reflect our dystopia
- Lela Savic / We can’t build the future of journalism while losing the people who build it
- Mythili Sampathkumar / Welcome to the next Renaissance
- Paula Montañá / The Global North learns coping skills from the Global South
- Yessenia Funes / Emotions become the industry’s superpower
Platforms and tech
- Ben Werdmuller / The year journalism stops outsourcing its independence
- Brian Reed / Journalists finally break Big Tech’s free-speech spell
- Ernie Smith / AI will probably force you to gate your content
- Felix M. Simon / The AI bubble may pop. People’s use of AI for information won’t.
- Jeff Jarvis / APIs for news
- Joanne McNeil / Publishers leave the dead malls of Web 2.0
- Natalia Viana / Journalists talk about the elephant in the room: our relationship with Big Tech
- Sam Guzik / Platforms realize they don’t need journalists
- Scott Klein / “Show your work” makes a triumphant return
- Simon Allison / Big Tech needs us more than we need them
- Tracie Powell / Journalism’s influencer obsession will age poorly
Press freedom and democracy
- Adam A. Marshall / Journalists will join forces with lawyers to fight back in court
- Carrie Brown / The year we band together and fight back
- Errin Haines / A year for revolutionary journalism
- Heather Chaplin / The year journalism goes underground in America
- J. Siguru Wahutu / News organizations wake up to the threat to their existence
- José Zamora / A year to choose solidarity over silence
- Katherine Maher / The fight for independence
- Kirstin McCudden / The fence is down
- Monika Bauerlein / The war on the press escalates
- Parker Molloy / The newsroom’s AI has an agenda
- Paul Cheung / Journalism will stop relying on exposure to hold the powerful accountable
- Phil Williams / The year journalism fights back in the courts
- Richard Tofel / Working through the hour of maximum danger
- Rodney Gibbs / From both-sidesism to backbone
- Whitney Phillips / Journalists finally take state-sanctioned trolling seriously
Product thinking
- Alyssa Zeisler / News gets reshaped to match the way your brain works
- David Cohn / Coming up, in the next season of “Journalism”
- Dmitry Shishkin / No more loose taxonomies or dirty data
- Eric Ulken / Local news embraces its consumer product role
- Ethar El-Katatney / Want loyalty? Investing in hard-to-reach audiences will be the key
- Gina Chua / Pressured by chatbots, newsrooms push past the one-story-fits-all model
- Marcus Mabry / Disruption? You ain’t seen nothing
- Mariah Craddick / The year news and product teams actually work together
- Mario García / Successful newsrooms will act more like consultancies than content factories
- Rishad Patel / Welcome to your ice cream shop
- Sarah Ebner / Loyalty, not scale, is key
- Simon Galperin / Information germ theory
- Taneth Evans / The year news gets personalized (seriously)
- Zainab Khan / Rise of the product marketplace
Social media and vertical video
- Alastair Coote / Charting a path out of the slop bucket
- Jonas Kaiser / Social media’s decline is journalism’s hope
- Joon Lee / Journalism will become the center of gravity for YouTube’s next era
- Sophia Smith Galer / Newsroom vertical video meets a crossroads
- Tristan Werkmeister / Newsrooms become talent hubs for vertical video journalists
Storycraft and format
- Bill Adair / News orgs feed the appetite for authenticity
- Ethan Brown / Attention economy bears get vindicated
- Gretel Kahn / Long-form video is the next big thing for young audiences
- Jason Forrest / Data needs to drive conversations, not division
- Joy Jenkins / Let “soft news” lead to hard conversations
- JP Mangalindan / The divide between culture reporter and critic closes
- Marie Gilot / Sorry, the explainer is dead
- Robin Kwong / Information becomes malleable
- Ryan Kellett / Journalism’s songwriter era
The human premium
- Eric Nuzum / The “HBO of podcasting” finally emerges
- Eric Barnes / AI makes human journalists more important than ever
- Johannes Klingebiel / Journalism is in danger of bending itself around AI
- Ole Reißmann / To compete with machines, we become more human
- Susie Cagle / AI will force us to be more ambitious, more human storytellers
Trust and verification
- Allissa Richardson / Stewarding the stories that power tries to silence
- Anne Godlasky / 2026 is a call for clarity
- Basile Simon / If confusion is the commodity, certainty is the premium product
- Cristina Tardáguila / The fact-checking mandate evolves from politics to personal security
- Danielle K. Brown / Journalism starts obsessing over something other than trust
- Joy Mayer / Journalists will accept that their critics are sometimes right
- Juleyka Lantigua / Reporters will have to cultivate trust the old-school way
- Katerina Eva Matsa / AI supercharges the challenges of discerning truth from fiction
- Kristen Muller / Taking journalism down to its studs
- Ståle Grut / A visual verification tax comes due
- Talia Stroud / Taking bias seriously
- Valérie Bélair-Gagnon / From fact-checking to friction-checking