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What Supreme Court’s ruling on mail-in voting says and doesn’t say

citizencartwright.com · last updated

The Supreme Court’s 6-3 ruling along ideological lines on Monday gives preliminary approval for President Trump’s March order restricting mail voting.

The ruling may not lead to a single election procedure changing during the November midterms, but it’s thrown into uncertainty the method that nearly a third of the country uses to vote, says The Associated Press.

The court didn’t say Trump’s order is legal.

It said it was too early for Democratic-run states to challenge it in June, when they convinced a federal judge in Boston to freeze the order for November’s election. And that effectively restarts the legal fight over the order in a compressed timeline, with initial ballots scheduled to be sent to North Carolina’s overseas and military voters in just over a week, on Sept. 4, says AP.

A second injunction prohibiting the Postal Service from making changes to comply with Trump’s executive order continues to be in effect. But the administration filed a motion late Monday asking that the second hold be removed and has posted new regulations from the Postal Service that would go into effect Tuesday if the legal pathway is fully cleared.

That new rule requires specific formatting for envelopes containing mail ballots — which could force some jurisdictions to completely revise theirs — and makes states use an electronic system to identify to the Postal Service who is voting by mail, says AP.

If states don’t comply with the rule, their mail ballots won’t be sent.

Justice Sonia Sotomayor wrote one dissent, joined by Justice Elena Kagan.

In a separate dissent, Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson says that the decision “needlessly injects chaos and uncertainty into the upcoming midterm elections.”

David Becker, executive director of the Center for Election Innovation & Research, agrees, saying the majority “seemed to create complete chaos leading up to the midterm elections” and it would be “impossible” for states to comply with the new rules at this late date.

Legal experts stress that it’s unlikely Trump’s order actually will be implemented because the Constitution grants control of voting rules to states, and in federal elections, to Congress, not the president.

Not only did the majority in the Supreme Court’s unsigned order note that it hasn’t determined whether the measure is constitutional, but every victory the administration has won so far has only been because it’s argued that it’s premature to talk about its constitutionality, AP says.

Rick Hasen, a UCLA law professor says, “Both legal and practical reasons make this practically impossible to enforce,” referring to Trump’s mail voting order.

Law professor and former U.S. Attorney Joyce Vance notes: “Even if Donald Trump makes it impossible to vote by mail (which I don’t think will happen), he can’t make it impossible for us to vote. We can still vote in person.”

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