Trump’s claims of negative net migration are premature, but some analysts say it could happen

Poynter · Maria Ramirez Uribe · last updated August 12, 2025 – 2:37 AM

President Donald Trump said he has fulfilled one of his campaign promises: More people are leaving the country than immigrating to it, he said.

“Promises made. Promises kept. Negative net migration for the first time in 50 years!” Trump said in a Truth Social post Aug. 4.

Other White House officials touted it as a historic development.

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