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Solar and wind keep getting cheaper as the field becomes smarter

Ars Technica · Doug Johnson · last updated

As solar and wind energy ramps up in the United States, the industries have gotten better at installing and operating their facilities. This experience can be seen in how the facilities are financed. According to new research, people working in the fields—and adjacent ones—have learned to be more efficient, reducing the overall cost of power. Further, according to Mark Bolinger, a research scientist at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory and one of the paper’s authors, this so-called learning rate can be extrapolated into the future, and it spells good news for the two renewable sources of energy.

“The people who operate these turbines naturally get better over time as they do more of it. They get more efficient, and it allows them to lower their costs a bit,” Bolinger told Ars, adding that the same holds true for the workers manufacturing the facilities. “Some of them have been doing it for a really long time… All things being equal, that should lead to a reduction in manufacturing costs.”

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Decades of government support for the development of wind energy has resulted in lower costs and a rapidly growing share of electricity generated by wind turbines. Wind in 2019 accounted for 7.3 percent of electrical generation, surpassing for the first time hydropower at 7.0 percent. 

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Declining costs and government encouragement have resulted in a rapid increase in solar energy production in the United States over the past 10 years, although solar’s share remains small: 1.6 percent of all electricity generation in 2018. That rapid growth is projected to continue.

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