Prediction market accuracy in the long run

<div><div><div><a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/international-journal-of-forecast… src="https://www.sciencedirect.com/us-east-1/prod/b5d02fe3412326475f6fc7d7c0…; alt="Elsevier"></span></span></a></div><div><div><a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/international-journal-of-forecast… 24, Issue 2</span></span></a>, April–June 2008, Pages 285-300</div></div><div><a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/international-journal-of-forecast… src="https://ars.els-cdn.com/content/image/1-s2.0-S0169207008X00032-cov150h…; alt="International Journal of Forecasting"></span></span></a></div></div><div><div></div></div><div><a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.03.007"><span><span>https://d… href="https://s100.copyright.com/AppDispatchServlet?publisherName=ELS&amp;con… rights and content</span></span></a></div><div><div></div></div><div></div><div><h2>Section snippets</h2><div><div></div></div></div><div><div><p></p><span><span>Forsythe<span>R. </span></span><em> et al.</em></span><span></span><span><span>Gelman<span>A. </span></span><em> et al.</em></span><span></span><span><span>Hahn<span>R.W. </span></span><em> et al.</em></span><span></span><span>Hanson<span>R.D. </span></span><span></span><span>Hanson, R. D. (in press). Shall we vote on values, but bet on beliefs? Journal of Political...</span><p></p></div></div><p></p><div><div><ul><li><div></div></li><li><div></div></li><li><div></div></li><li></li><li></li><li></li></ul><a href="http://www.scopus.com/scopus/inward/citedby.url?partnerID=10&amp;rel=3… all citing articles on Scopus</span></span></a></div></div><p></p><div><div><p><strong>Joyce E. Berg</strong> is an Associate Professor of Accounting and Pioneer Hi-Bred Research Fellow in the Tippie College of Business. She is a director of the Iowa Electronic Markets, using the markets in her research on financial markets, individual decision-making and prediction. Her work has been published in the areas of economics, accounting, and electronic markets. She has served as section head for both experimental methods and accounting on the executive committee of the Economic Science Association, the professional organization for experimental economists.</p></div></div><div><div><p><strong>Forrest D. Nelson</strong> is a Professor of Economics and Tippie Research Fellow in the Tippie College of Business. He is a director of the Iowa Electronic Markets and one of the three originators of the Iowa Political Stock Market.</p></div></div><div><div><p><strong>Thomas A. Rietz</strong> is an Associate Professor of Finance and Hershberger Faculty Research Fellow in the Tippie College of Business. He is a director of the Iowa Electronic Markets and uses it in his research on financial markets, individual decisions and political science. His publications span the areas of economics, finance and political science. He served three terms as the section head for finance on the executive committee of the Economic Science Association, the professional organization for experimental economists.</p></div></div><a href="https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207008000320"><s… full text</span></span></a><p><span>Copyright © 2008 International Institute of Forecasters. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.</span></p><p></p><div><div><ul><li></li><li></li><li></li><li></li><li></li><li></li></ul></div></div><div><div><ul><li><span>Citation Indexes</span><span>203</span></li><li><span>Policy Citations</span><span>4</span></li></ul><ul><li><span>Blog Mentions</span><span>3</span></li><li><span>News Mentions</span><span>10</span></li><li><span>References</span><span>2</span></li></ul></div></div><p></p></div>