Opinion | How Biden can boost U.S. climate change credibility at COP28 - The Washington Post
Opinion | How Biden can boost U.S. climate change credibility at COP28 - The Washington Post
When U.S. climate envoys arrive in Dubai in late November, they will bring with them a big new global warming plan, codified in federal law, enabling them to declare to the world that the United States has joined the climate fight. More credibility should help the United States encourage other nations, which is good because restraining global temperature rise requires all big polluters to act with more ambition.
Yet other countries are less thrilled than one might expect, in part because President Biden’s “Bidenomics” agenda, embedded in the U.S. climate plan, promotes domestic manufacturing and job creation along with emissions-cutting. This makes the climate effort costlier and antagonizes would-be partners. Fortunately, the policy can be improved. And, crucially, Mr. Biden can argue that it might not only green up the United States but also make it easy for the rest of the world to follow.
Last year’s climate law, the Inflation Reduction Act, could direct as much as $1.2 trillion over 10 years toward curbing greenhouse gases. That is three times what the Congressional Budget Office predicted, with stronger-than-expected uptake of the bill’s open-ended tax credits for deployment of renewable energy and zero-emission energy technologies, as well as manufacturing of green technologies. Along with almost $200 billion in climate-related spending from the 2021 Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, the United States will get much closer to meeting its promise to halve its greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, compared with 2005 levels.
The problem is that the Biden administration is using climate policies to meet goals unrelated to cutting emissions, a mixing of objectives that is likely to inhibit the green transition. It seeks to “de-risk” U.S. industry by reducing its reliance on China, which controls much of the global critical-mineral supply and is by far the world’s main battery producer. Mr. Biden also wants to promote American jobs through supports for domestic industry, which will make the energy transition costlier.
For instance, for electric vehicles to qualify for a tax break under the Inflation Reduction Act, the lithium, nickel and cobalt in the cars and their batteries must come from the United States or a country with which the United States has a free-trade agreement. Starting next year, cars with batteries containing Chinese components will be ineligible, too. But America and its free-trade partners don’t produce enough battery parts or critical minerals to meet the need. Given U.S. environmental regulations, expanding domestic supplies is difficult.
This is all likely to slow a green transition that, if delayed by extraneous considerations, will only get harder. Estimates of the IRA’s impact on U.S. emissions come with caveats. Princeton University’s Zero Lab, a climate research group, had to worsen its projections to reflect “constraints on supply chains and other rate-limiting factors.”
U.S. trade protectionism also antagonizes many countries — not just China — with which the United States needs to cooperate on climate. Mr. Biden and his officials still have to convince other governments that emissions-cutting — not trade conflict — is the top U.S. priority.
The president has options. He could use whatever legal discretion he has to ease protectionist rules that have upset U.S.-aligned countries. He could promote “friendshoring” — developing trade relationships with countries that might provide alternative sources of critical components — along with investments in battery recycling and other technologies that would limit the need for scarce minerals. And by promising to share climate-related technology, he could signal that the United States does not seek to become a China-style green-tech monopolist.
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Editorial Board wrote about the wide range of the indictment in August.
Editorial Board wrote about how the United States can address its maternal mortality crisis.
a dramatic reversal after years of opposing such an approach to redistricting. A new liberal majority on the state Supreme Court is expected to throw out the current maps, which make Wisconsin the most gerrymandered state in America. Mr. Vos has been threatening to impeach Justice Janet Protasiewicz, whose election this spring flipped control of the court, in a bid to keep those maps. This led to understandable outcry. Now it seems Mr. Vos is backing off his impeachment threat and his efforts to keep the state gerrymandered.
Read our editorial on the Protasiewicz election here.
eating again in Bahrain after the government agreed to let them spend more hours outside and expanded their access to visitors, a welcome development ahead of the crown prince’s visit to Washington this week. Activists say the monthlong hunger strike will resume on Sept. 30 if these promises aren’t kept.
Read our editorial calling for the compassionate release of Abdulhadi al-Khawaja, a political prisoner since 2011 who participated in the strike.
according to Human Rights Watch. The court’s verdict, July 10, was based on two accounts on X, formerly Twitter, which had only a handful of followers. The posts criticized the royal family. The sentence is the latest example of dictatorships imposing harsh sentences on people who use social media for free expression,
highlighted in our February editorial.
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Inflation Reduction Act incentives to develop technologies such as clean hydrogen, direct air capture of carbon dioxide and clean jet fuel could accelerate global decarbonization. Some 200 billion euros of German solar subsidies between 2004 and 2012 made solar cheap by encouraging innovation in photovoltaics production and enabling economies of scale. The Inflation Reduction Act could spur the development and spread of far more advanced technologies. The Rhodium Group, an independent research firm, projects that the United States will deploy new technologies backed by the act, starting around 2030, and global adoption will take off after that. By the last two decades of this century, this technology diffusion would reduce non-U.S. carbon dioxide emissions by 401 million to 847 million metric tons a year. That’s about the same as the impact of the entire act in 2030.
Mr. Biden should make clear that the United States will ease the transfer of technology and know-how. As the United States’ proportion of global emissions shrinks — from roughly 17 percent at the turn of the century to roughly 11 percent as of 2021 to perhaps 7 percent by 2030 — Mr. Biden can signal U.S. commitment by stressing that this country will not just invest in new technologies but also bring them within reach of the entire world.
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Editorials represent the views of The Post as an institution, as determined through discussion among members of the Editorial Board, based in the Opinions section and separate from the newsroom.
Members of the Editorial Board: Opinion Editor David Shipley, Deputy Opinion Editor Charles Lane and Deputy Opinion Editor Stephen Stromberg, as well as writers Mary Duenwald, Christine Emba, Shadi Hamid, David E. Hoffman, James Hohmann, Heather Long, Mili Mitra, Eduardo Porter, Keith B. Richburg and Molly Roberts.
Related Knowledge Center: Climate diplomacy: COP 27
The 27th Conference of the Parties (COP 27) produced a groundbreaking agreement to create a “loss and damage” fund to help developing nations cope with the impact of climate change.
But the conference, held from Nov. 6 to Nov. 20, 2022, in Sharm el-Sheik, Egypt, fell short of a hoped-for agreement to speed reductions of greenhouse gas emissions.