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Maui Fires Come at a Moment of Turmoil for the Insurance Industry

NYT > Climate and Environment · Santul Nerkar · last updated

Maui Fires Come at a Moment of Turmoil for the Insurance Industry - The New York Times

Maui Fires Come at a Moment of Turmoil for the Insurance Industry

Hawaii has the nation’s lowest rates for homeowner coverage because it has not suffered many natural disasters. That may change.

The devastating wildfires in Hawaii have come at a time of upheaval for the insurance industry, in a place that had not been considered very risky by underwriters.

The state’s residents have generally paid low home insurance rates — the cheapest in the country, according to Bankrate, a consumer financial services company — because there are relatively few natural disasters in Hawaii, with the private sector on stronger footing than in states like Florida and California. In recent years, both states have been more prone to extreme weather events than Hawaii.

But the deadly fires in Maui this week, which destroyed thousands of homes and will take what the state’s governor said would be billions of dollars to rebuild from, may make insurance companies reconsider policy rates and coverage, as they have in more disaster-prone areas.

Insurance rates are set on a state level, with varying degrees of government regulation and intervention. Typically, states like Hawaii that have strong private insurance markets have not needed forceful state involvement on rates.

After Hurricane Iniki hit Hawaii in 1992, the Legislature created a fund to provide hurricane insurance to homeowners. But that fund ceased operations in 2002 because the private market had returned to full strength.

More broadly across the United States, some private insurers have begun retreating as natural disasters have mounted, leaving the overall market in peril.

State Farm, the largest homeowner insurance provider in California, announced in May that it would no longer sell coverage there. In Florida, homeowners have struggled to find storm coverage as insurers have pulled out because of the risks arising from climate change.

For Hawaii’s relatively robust private insurance market, there’s reason to think things could become more precarious moving forward, although companies will need time to consider new data in estimating their future losses.

“I think insurers are going to start factoring in the increased frequency and severity of wildfires,” said David Marlett, a professor of risk management at Appalachian State University. “You’ve already seen that in California.”

Adding to the complexities, there is also uncertainty in the global reinsurance market, a crucial backstop for private insurers.

Reinsurance companies, which are essentially the insurers for insurance companies, have been in turmoil as risks and costs have mounted. Prices for reinsurance have soared in 2023, leading insurers to cut coverage in various areas and stop covering some types of damage.

Our Coverage of the Hawaii Wildfires

What began as scattered brush fires on the state’s biggest islands, Hawaii and Maui, has turned into one of the worst natural disasters in Hawaii’s history.
Lost History Gems: The town of Lahaina, which
was devastated by fire, was a magnet for tourists. But for locals, it was a home with a deep history.
Protecting Endangered Birds: The Maui Bird Conservation Center keeps some 80 birds in enclosures in an effort to prevent their extinction. Staff members jumped right into the action to defend the site
until firefighters arrived.
The Fire in Context: The situation in Maui has evoked painful memories of other fatal blazes that have seared the American landscape.
Here are some of the deadliest the mainland has seen in the last century.
Guidance for Travelers: The Hawaii Tourism Authority is asking visitors who are on nonessential travel to leave Maui and discouraging people from traveling there.
Here’s what people with an upcoming trip to Maui or other Hawaiian islands need to know.

Related Knowledge Center: Climate economics

State of Play

Climate change is now a driver of the world’s economy. The impact is profound:

  • Catastrophic weather events — hurricanes, floods, droughts, high temperatures — are more frequent and more extreme. The cost can be measured in both the initial damage caused and the longer-term impact on the economy.
  • Vulnerable communities are increasing climate-related investments, hardening infrastructure and taking other protective measures.
  • Investment in carbon capture and storage technologies is increasingly rapidly.
  • Governments are making investments and crafting regulations to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. 

On top of all of this is the cost of uncertainty. As the Fourth National Climate Assessment, released in 2018 by the U.S. Global Change Research Program, says, “The assumption that current and future climate conditions will resemble the recent past is no longer valid.”

More informationabout Climate economics