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How the Polls Got It So Wrong in Wisconsin

The New York Times · Bayliss Wagner and Ruth Igielnik · last updated

Francesca Hong, the democratic socialist running in Wisconsin’s Democratic primary for governor, had a double-digit lead in polls as recently as last week. Then she lost. What happened?

For months, polls indicated that Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist, was far and away the front-runner in the Democratic primary for governor in Wisconsin.

Then David Crowley, a moderate and the chief executive of Milwaukee County, won the race, albeit narrowly.