News

Higher-resolution projections needed for small island climates

Climate change : nature.com subject feeds · last updated

Higher-resolution projections needed for small island climates | Nature Climate Change

Projections of the future climate of small island states and territories are currently limited by the coarse resolution of models. We call for rapid global and regional cooperation to develop projections compatible with small island scales, providing relevant local information and decision-making tools.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Access Nature and 54 other Nature Portfolio journals

Get Nature+, our best-value online-access subscription

$29.99 / 30 days

cancel any time

Subscribe to this journal

Receive 12 print issues and online access

$209.00 per year

only $17.42 per issue

Buy this article

- Purchase on Springer Link
- Instant access to full article PDF

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

1.
Mycoo, M. et al. in Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability (eds Portner, H.-O. et al.) 2043–2122 (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2023).
2.
Monioudi, I. N. et al. Reg. Environ. Change 18, 2211–2225 (2018).
3.
Barnett, J. & Waters, E. in The Palgrave Handbook of International Development (eds Grugel, J. & Hammett, D.) 731–748 (Palgrave Macmillan, 2016).
4.
IPCC Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis (eds Masson-Delmotte, V. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2021).
5.
IPCC Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability (eds Portner, H.-O. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2022).
6.
Giorgi, F., Jones, C. & Asrar, G. R. WMO Bull. 58, 175–183 (2009).
7.
Cantet, P., Déqué, M., Palany, P. & Maridet, J.-L. Tellus A 66, 24065 (2014).
8.
Lefèvre, J., Marchesiello, P., Jourdain, N. C., Menkes, C. & Leroy, A. Mar. Pollut. Bull. 61, 413–431 (2010).
9.
Dutheil, C. et al. Clim. Dyn. 56, 87–108 (2021).
10.
Cécé, R. et al. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 21, 129–145 (2021).
11.
Monismith, S. G. Annu. Rev. Fluid Mech. 39, 37–55 (2007).
12.
Fandrich, K. M., Timm, O. E., Zhang, C. & Giambelluca, T. W. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 127, e2021JD035684 (2022).
13.
Martins, K. et al. Ocean Model. 179, 102110 (2022).
14.
Rampal, N. et al. Artif. Intell. Earth Syst. 3, 230066 (2024).

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Rights and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Evans, J.P., Belmadani, A., Menkes, C. et al. Higher-resolution projections needed for small island climates. Nat. Clim. Chang. 14, 668–670 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02028-9

-
Published:
-
Issue Date:
-
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02028-9

Related Knowledge Center: Climate diplomacy

State of Play

Talks are well underway in preparation for the next major international meeting on climate change, 28th Conference of the Parties (COP28), scheduled to begin Nov. 30 in the United Arab Emirates. 

Much like last year’s COP27, finances — specifically, aid to developing nations — will be at the center of conference deliberations.

The conference faces an even greater sense of urgency brought on by the Sept. 8, 2023, release of the first global stocktake, which calls for accelerated action to meet the goals set in the 2015 Paris Climate Agreement (COP21). 

Climate diplomacy: COP 27 | Climate diplomacy: COP 28 | Climate diplomacy: COP 29

 

More informationabout Climate diplomacy