Good News and Bad News About AGI and Climate Change
Since early September, when Jacob Coxon resigned from Anthropic over concerns about AI safety, we’ve been deluged with dire warnings that by the end of this decade, machines will achieve artificial general intelligence (AGI), go rogue, and potentially destroy humanity. The impetus for this outcry is a series of cybersecurity incidents, the most notable of which is one that took place last July, when OpenAI’s models are said to have ‘gone rogue’ and ‘attacked’ Hugging Face.
Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei called to “pace the frontier” so that tech companies can avoid catastrophe and ensure that they develop beneficial AGI that will eliminate disease, solve the climate crisis, and usher in a utopia. The press, lawmakers, and the public are now grappling with the question of how to balance the probability of an AGI apocalypse — abbreviated to p(doom) — over that of an AGI utopia — p(hope).
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