Goldman Flags Scope for Higher Oil and Gas on Mideast Scenarios
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. flagged the possibility of higher oil and gas prices after the US struck Iran, even as the bank’s base-case outlook hinges on major disruptions to supplies from the region.
If oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz were to drop by half for a month, and remained 10% lower for another 11, Brent would spike briefly to as much as $110 a barrel, analysts including Daan Struyven said in a note. Should Iranian supply fall by 1.75 million barrels a day, Brent would peak at $90.