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Demographic Dynamics and Climate Vulnerability in Sub-Saharan Africa: Integrating Population Foresight with Urbanisation, Governance, and Adaptation Strategies

ReliefWeb · last updated

This report investigates the interlinked dynamics of demographic growth and climate resilience in Sub-Saharan Africa—a region at the crossroads of urban expansion, ecological stress, and institutional fragility. Synthesising over 200 sources through a cross-sectoral, desk-based review, the study articulates how fertility trends, urbanisation, youth bulges, and migration interact with climate stressors like heat islands, hydrological risks, and land-use change. The analysis critiques prevailing technocratic policy paradigms and offers a systems-based approach to integrating demographic foresight into national adaptation plans, urban governance frameworks, and resilience strategies. The report concludes with actionable recommendations for embedding demographic justice and intergenerational equity into climate adaptation planning across SSA.

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