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Climate crisis is accelerating, scientists warn, after unusually warm July breaks Australian records - The Guardian

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Climate crisis is accelerating, scientists warn, after unusually warm July breaks Australian records | Australia news | The Guardian

Dozens of longstanding temperature records tumbled across Australia during an unusually warm July, as scientists warn the climate crisis is accelerating.

Across the country maximum temperatures were overall about 1.2C above the long-term averages in July and all capital cities except Canberra were warmer than average, Bureau of Meteorology data shows.

And many weather stations in Sydney, Melbourne and Hobart clocked their highest July temperatures on record, including some dating back more than 140 years.

Experts say Australia’s warmer winter is not being directly caused by the heatwaves and weather systems in the northern hemisphere over the same period. But Australian winters – and temperatures across the globe – have been getting hotter because of global heating.

There are also other factors driving the warmer temperatures, such as local weather systems.

Dr Andrew King, a climate science lecturer at the University of Melbourne, said there had been “really high pressure” over most of Australia for most of the past month or two, which had warmed up the interior of the continent.

“When winds come from the interior of the continent we get quite warm days in places like Adelaide and Melbourne and Sydney.”

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This has played out in the data: Adelaide and Sydney had temperatures that hit the mid-20s on some days, which King said was “unusual but not unprecedented”.

Individual weather stations show the extent of the warmer conditions historically.

Across greater Sydney, mean high temperatures for July were between 2C and 3C above long-term averages, while 10 stations in the region set record-high average daily temperatures for the month.

Sydney’s Observatory Hill, which has records stretching back to 1859, had its equal-warmest July on record, alongside 2018.
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Graph showing Australis’s record-breaking July temperatures

Hobart’s Ellerslie Road weather station has experienced temperatures consistently higher than average for much of the year. But in July the average high and low temperatures were about 3C above average, smashing records that have stood for 142 years.

Melbourne also had daily and monthly average temperature records broken at weather stations in the city centre, Moorabbin airport and Laverton airport, all of which had stood since the 1970s.
Chart showing Australia’s warming winter temperatures

Differences in local geography and weather systems can influence some of these records. Tasmania is a smaller land mass and surrounded by water, so bigger temperature swings were expected, King said, as with cities situated near mountains or oceans.

But all of this is exacerbated by climate change. The BoM’s temperature anomaly data– which compares temperatures for a given month with the long-term average – shows the winter months of June, July and August have been increasingly warm.

“We’ve warmed Australia by almost one-and-a-half degrees Celsius due to our greenhouse gas emissions,” King said. “And so our winters are warmer, and we’ll continue to see it getting warmer.

“Our greenhouse gas emissions are still at record-high levels. We’re warming the planet at record speed and we’re warming Australia really quickly as well.

“The longer we continue and the faster we continue emitting greenhouse gases, the more warming we’ll see.”

Related Knowledge Center: Climate science

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What began as a theory in the 1890s — that industrial emissions of carbon dioxide could increase global temperatures — had progressed to a scientific fact a century later. Scientists across a range of disciplines are studying the impact of the still-growing concentration of carbon dioxide and other so-called “greenhouse gases” in the atmosphere as they call for industrial and governmental policies to slow, then halt, the warming of the planet. 

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