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Climate Change Raises Lamb Prices for Easter 2026 | Food Inflation Analysis - News and Statistics

IndexBox · last updated

Apr 5, 2026

Climate Shocks Drive Up Lamb Prices Ahead of Easter 2026

An analysis by Zero Carbon Analytics for the Energy and Climate Intelligence Unit indicates that repeated climate-related disruptions since 2022 have increased lamb prices in the United Kingdom. Each event has raised prices by a range of seven to twenty-one percent.

For households in the UK that frequently consume lamb, these cumulative increases have resulted in significant additional expenditure over a three-year period. Across continental Europe, meat prices have also risen sharply, with certain countries experiencing increases exceeding twenty percent. General food prices in the European bloc rose last year at a rate above the average inflation.

Lamb was among the food items with the most rapid price growth in Europe. Another traditional Easter product, chocolate, saw the largest price surge overall.

Analysts note that climate change, intensified by human activity, is increasing the frequency and severity of extreme weather. This relationship is linked to the atmosphere’s capacity to hold more moisture with rising temperatures, which can result in heavier rainfall.

The research specifically connected heavy rainfall in the UK during one winter period to a direct price increase for a lamb roast the following Easter, with a further rise projected for the subsequent year. Experts observe that such weather events can create lasting effects on prices even in nations with advanced agricultural systems.

Farmers report that consecutive wet winters have negatively impacted grass growth, leading to lambs being sent for processing at lower weights and yielding less meat per animal.

Globally, the food and agriculture sector is a major source of greenhouse gas emissions. Within the European Union, foods derived from animals account for a large majority of emissions from food production while providing a smaller share of dietary calories and protein.

Lamb production is frequently highlighted as a significant contributor to environmental impacts within the food industry. A separate assessment tool indicates a high emissions equivalent for a standard serving of lamb.

A major international report published in 2025 concluded that a global shift toward primarily plant-based diets could substantially reduce agricultural emissions and potentially prevent millions of annual deaths.

Separate data shows a high volume of lamb imports into Italy during a spring period last year, with concerns raised about the duration and conditions of transport for these animals.

Interactive table based on the Store Companies dataset for this report.

# Company Headquarters Focus Scale Note
1 Alliance Group New Zealand Lamb, mutton, beef Major exporter Farmer-owned cooperative
2 Silver Fern Farms New Zealand Lamb, venison, beef Major exporter Farmer-owned cooperative
3 JBS S.A. Brazil Beef, poultry, lamb Global meat giant Operates in Australia & NZ
4 Australian Country Choice Australia Beef, lamb Large integrated Major supplier to domestic market
5 Teys Australia Australia Beef, lamb Large processor Joint venture with Cargill
6 Fletcher International Exports Australia Lamb, mutton Major exporter Significant processor
7 Irish Country Meats Ireland Lamb Major EU processor Part of Dawn Meats group
8 Dawn Meats Ireland Beef, lamb Major EU processor Significant lamb operations
9 Kepak Ireland Beef, lamb Major EU processor Large Irish meat processor
10 Moy Park United Kingdom Poultry, lamb Major UK processor Part of Pilgrim’s Pride
11 Dunbia United Kingdom Beef, lamb, pork Major UK processor Part of Dawn Meats group
12 2 Sisters Food Group United Kingdom Poultry, lamb Large UK processor Multi-protein processor
13 Cranswick plc United Kingdom Pork, poultry, lamb Major UK processor Diversified meat producer
14 Vion Food Group Netherlands Pork, beef, lamb Large EU processor Operates in multiple countries
15 Gansu Tianzow Animal Husbandry China Lamb, mutton Large Chinese producer Integrated operation
16 Inner Mongolia Prairie Xingfa China Lamb, mutton Large Chinese producer Major regional producer
17 Murgaca Uruguay Lamb, mutton Significant exporter Key South American processor
18 Frigorífico Las Piedras Uruguay Lamb, beef Significant exporter Major Uruguayan plant
19 Frigorífico Carrasco Uruguay Lamb, beef Significant exporter Uruguayan processor
20 Manuka South Africa Lamb, mutton Major South African Processor and exporter
21 Karan Beef South Africa Beef, lamb Large South African Diversified red meat
22 Tönnies Holding Germany Pork, lamb Large EU processor Significant lamb division
23 Westfleisch Germany Pork, beef, lamb Large cooperative German meat processor
24 NH Foods Ltd Japan Beef, pork, lamb Global processor Operations in Australia
25 Aurivo (Connacht Gold) Ireland Dairy, lamb Cooperative Processes lamb
26 Scottish Meat Company United Kingdom Lamb, beef UK processor Specialist red meat
27 Frigorífico Modelo Argentina Lamb, mutton Argentine processor Patagonian producer
28 Cactus France Lamb, beef French cooperative Major French producer
29 Socopa France Beef, lamb French processor Part of Bigard group
30 Meyer Natural Foods USA Beef, lamb US natural meat Includes lamb operations

This report provides an in-depth analysis of the global market for lamb and sheep meat. Within it, you will discover the latest data on market trends and opportunities by country, consumption, production and price developments, as well as the global trade (imports and exports). The forecast exhibits the market prospects through 2030.

  • Global market volume and value
  • Per Capita consumption
  • Forecast of the market dynamics in the medium term
  • Global production, split by region and country
  • Global trade (exports and imports)
  • Export and import prices
  • Market trends, drivers and restraints
  • Key market players and their profiles

  1. 1. INTRODUCTION

    Report Scope and Analytical Framing

    1. Report Description
    2. Research Methodology and the Analytical Framework
    3. Data-Driven Decisions for Your Business
    4. Glossary and Product-Specific Terms
  2. 2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

    Concise View of Market Direction

    1. Key Findings
    2. Market Trends
    3. Strategic Implications
    4. Key Risks and Watchpoints
  3. 3. MARKET SIZE AND DEVELOPMENT PATH

    Market Size, Growth and Scenario Framing

    1. Market Size: Historical Data (2012-2025) and Forecast (2026-2035)
    2. Growth Outlook and Market Development Path to 2035
    3. Growth Driver Decomposition
    4. Scenario Framework and Sensitivities
  4. 4. CATEGORY SCOPE, DEFINITIONS AND BOUNDARIES

    Commercial and Technical Scope

    1. What Is Included and How the Market Is Defined
    2. Market Inclusion Criteria
    3. Product / Category Definition
    4. Exclusions and Boundaries
    5. Distinction From Adjacent Products and Substitute Categories
  5. 5. CATEGORY STRUCTURE, SEGMENTATION AND PRODUCT MATRIX

    How the Market Splits Into Decision-Relevant Buckets

    1. By Product Type / Configuration
    2. By Application / End Use
    3. By Customer / Buyer Type
    4. By Channel / Business Model / Technology Platform
    5. Segment Attractiveness Matrix
    6. Product Matrix and Segment Growth Logic
  6. 6. DEMAND, CUSTOMER AND CONSUMER ARCHITECTURE

    Where Demand Comes From and How It Behaves

    1. Consumption / Demand by Country or Region: Historical Data (2012-2025) and Forecast (2026-2035)
    2. Demand by End-Use and Buyer Group
    3. Demand by Customer / Consumer Segment
    4. Purchase Criteria, Switching Logic and Adoption Barriers
    5. Replacement, Replenishment and Installed-Base Dynamics
    6. Future Demand Outlook
  7. 7. PRODUCTION, SUPPLY AND VALUE CHAIN

    Supply Footprint, Trade and Value Capture

    1. Production by Country
    2. Manufacturing Footprint and Supply Hubs
    3. Capacity, Bottlenecks and Supply Risks
    4. Value Chain Logic and Margin Pools
    5. Route-to-Market and Distribution Structure
  8. 8. TRADE, SOURCING AND IMPORT DEPENDENCE

    Trade Flows and External Dependence

    1. Exports by Country
    2. Imports by Country
    3. Trade Balance and Sourcing Structure
    4. Import Dependence and Supply Resilience
    5. Strategic Trade Corridors
  9. 9. PRICING, PROMOTION AND COMMERCIAL MODEL

    Price Formation and Revenue Logic

    1. Price Levels and Price Corridors
    2. Pricing by Segment / Specification / Geography
    3. Cost Drivers and Margin Logic
    4. Promotion, Discounting and Procurement Patterns
    5. Revenue Quality and Commercial Levers
  10. 10. COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE AND PORTFOLIO POWER

    Who Wins and Why

    1. Market Structure and Concentration
    2. Competitive Archetypes
    3. Segment-by-Segment Competitive Intensity
    4. Portfolio Breadth and Product Positioning
    5. Capability Matrix
    6. Strategic Moves, Partnerships and Expansion Signals
  11. 11. GEOGRAPHIC LANDSCAPE AND COUNTRY ROLES

    Where Growth and Supply Concentrate

    1. Core Demand Markets
    2. Core Production Markets
    3. Export Hubs
    4. Import-Reliant Markets
    5. Fastest-Growing Markets
    6. Country Archetypes and Strategic Roles
  12. 12. GROWTH PLAYBOOK AND MARKET ENTRY

    Commercial Entry and Scaling Priorities

    1. Where to Play
    2. How to Win
    3. Build vs Buy vs Partner
    4. Route-to-Market Choices
    5. Localization and Capability Thresholds
    6. Entry Risks and Mitigation
  13. 13. WHERE TO PLAY NEXT: MOST ATTRACTIVE GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES

    Where the Best Expansion Logic Sits

    1. Most Attractive Product Niches
    2. Most Attractive Customer Segments
    3. Most Attractive Markets for Commercial Expansion
    4. White Spaces and Unsaturated Opportunities
    5. High-Margin and Underpenetrated Pockets
    6. Most Promising Product Adjacencies
  14. 14. PROFILES OF MAJOR COMPANIES

    Leading Players and Strategic Archetypes

    1. Leading Manufacturers and Suppliers
    2. Regional Specialists and Challengers
    3. Production Footprint and Manufacturing Capacities
    4. Product Portfolio and Segment Focus
    5. Pricing Positioning and Indicative Price Logic
    6. Channel / Distribution Strength
    7. Strategic Archetypes
  15. 15. COUNTRY PROFILES

    Detailed View of the Most Important National Markets

    1. 15.1

      United States

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    2. 15.2

      China

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    3. 15.3

      Japan

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    4. 15.4

      Germany

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    5. 15.5

      United Kingdom

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    6. 15.6

      France

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    7. 15.7

      Brazil

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    8. 15.8

      Italy

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    9. 15.9

      Russian Federation

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    10. 15.10

      India

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    11. 15.11

      Canada

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    12. 15.12

      Australia

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    13. 15.13

      Republic of Korea

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    14. 15.14

      Spain

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    15. 15.15

      Mexico

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    16. 15.16

      Indonesia

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    17. 15.17

      Netherlands

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    18. 15.18

      Turkey

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    19. 15.19

      Saudi Arabia

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    20. 15.20

      Switzerland

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    21. 15.21

      Sweden

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    22. 15.22

      Nigeria

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    23. 15.23

      Poland

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    24. 15.24

      Belgium

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    25. 15.25

      Argentina

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    26. 15.26

      Norway

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    27. 15.27

      Austria

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    28. 15.28

      Thailand

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    29. 15.29

      United Arab Emirates

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    30. 15.30

      Colombia

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    31. 15.31

      Denmark

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    32. 15.32

      South Africa

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    33. 15.33

      Malaysia

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    34. 15.34

      Israel

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    35. 15.35

      Singapore

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    36. 15.36

      Egypt

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    37. 15.37

      Philippines

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    38. 15.38

      Finland

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    39. 15.39

      Chile

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    40. 15.40

      Ireland

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    41. 15.41

      Pakistan

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    42. 15.42

      Greece

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    43. 15.43

      Portugal

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    44. 15.44

      Kazakhstan

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    45. 15.45

      Algeria

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    46. 15.46

      Czech Republic

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    47. 15.47

      Qatar

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    48. 15.48

      Peru

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    49. 15.49

      Romania

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
    50. 15.50

      Vietnam

      • Market Size
      • Demand Drivers
      • Country Role in the Market
      • Supply Capability / Production Potential / External Dependence
      • Competitive Presence
      • Strategic Outlook
  16. 16. METHODOLOGY, SOURCES AND DISCLAIMER

    How the Report Was Built

    1. Modeling Logic
    2. Source Register
    3. Publications, Regulatory and Industry References
    4. Analytical Notes
    5. Disclaimer

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Alliance Group

Farmer-owned cooperative

Silver Fern Farms

Farmer-owned cooperative

JBS S.A.

Operates in Australia & NZ

Australian Country Choice

Major supplier to domestic market

Teys Australia

Joint venture with Cargill

Fletcher International Exports

Significant processor

Irish Country Meats

Part of Dawn Meats group

Dawn Meats

Significant lamb operations

Kepak

Large Irish meat processor

Moy Park

Part of Pilgrim’s Pride

Dunbia

Part of Dawn Meats group

2 Sisters Food Group

Multi-protein processor

Cranswick plc

Diversified meat producer

Vion Food Group

Operates in multiple countries

Gansu Tianzow Animal Husbandry

Integrated operation

Inner Mongolia Prairie Xingfa

Major regional producer

Murgaca

Key South American processor

Frigorífico Las Piedras

Major Uruguayan plant

Frigorífico Carrasco

Uruguayan processor

Manuka

Processor and exporter

Karan Beef

Diversified red meat

Tönnies Holding

Significant lamb division

Westfleisch

German meat processor

NH Foods Ltd

Operations in Australia

Aurivo (Connacht Gold)

Processes lamb

Scottish Meat Company

Specialist red meat

Frigorífico Modelo

Patagonian producer

Cactus

Major French producer

Socopa

Part of Bigard group

Meyer Natural Foods

Includes lamb operations

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