Can Southeast Asia put climate over politics to bridge the financing gap? - South China Morning Post
Opinion: Can Southeast Asia prioritise climate over politics to bridge the financing gap? | South China Morning Post
Can Southeast Asia prioritise climate over politics to bridge the financing gap?
- The region requires US$210 billion annually through 2030 for climate infrastructure investment, the Asian Development Bank estimates
- Much of the investment needed stems from the cost of transitioning away from carbon-intensive industries, investing in renewable energy
COP28) on climate change,
Southeast Asia is in the spotlight not only as a hotspot for climate impacts but also for the urgency to take climate action. Policymakers in the region see the imperative for climate mitigation and adaptation but underscore the inadequacy of climate finance as an impediment.
G20 meetings.
A significant proportion of the investment needed stems from the cost of transitioning away from carbon-intensive industries, investing in renewable energy, and improving energy efficiency. Additionally, protecting forests and adopting sustainable land-use practices are vital for carbon sequestration.
Adaptation measures are also needed, including strengthening transport and energy infrastructure to withstand extreme weather, finding drought-resistant crop varieties, and activating early warning systems for natural disasters.
The amount of climate investment needed translates to roughly 4 or 5 per cent of the gross domestic product of all emerging economies, including those in Southeast Asia. Analysis suggests that two-thirds of that US$1.8 trillion figure, or US$1.2 trillion, will have to be raised domestically.
World Bank’s total lending was US$71 billion and the Asian Development Bank’s US$20 billion in 2022, the climate financing gap would appear to be large.
There is an urgent need, therefore, to encourage multiple sources of climate finance from multiple stakeholders using innovative financing mechanisms. Political constraints preventing the opening of new avenues away from the monopolistic or oligopolistic hold of state-owned enterprises need to be addressed.
Indonesia, for example, should be able to issue green bonds to supplement green-infrastructure projects that are financed by the government’s budget. Multilateral development banks can boost domestic green-bond markets in Indonesia and other countries by providing guarantees against the loss of capital.
Steps to raise the profile and credibility of green finance in domestic markets will help. As investments in renewables and other green ventures are typically risk-prone, greater transparency about the nature and intensity of those risks will help.
the Philippines or
Vietnam– countries with high exposure to extreme weather – would gain from more transparent accounting of the risks.
Can India unite a ‘divided’ G20 to tackle climate financing?
Thailand,
Malaysia, the Philippines and Vietnam have developed taxonomies that establish a common language for green investments.
Carbon markets and trading, underpinned by quantitative restrictions or taxes on carbon, can provide another source of finance for Southeast Asia. By putting a price on carbon, businesses are, in one way or another, motivated to reduce emissions.
These mechanisms create economic incentives for emission reductions by allowing the buying and selling of carbon credits. Southeast Asian countries can participate in international carbon markets, generating revenue from emissions reductions achieved through their climate projects.
Given the size of the financing gap, Southeast Asia should also tap grass-roots financing mechanisms. Community-based initiatives, crowdfunding, and social impact bonds can empower local communities to contribute to climate projects.
This bottom-up approach helps climate finance reach those most vulnerable to climate change. Frank Lysy, a former World Bank economist, notes that in cases where investments took place on a massive scale, be it in cellular mobile services or digital technologies, the viability of the technologies and supportive regulatory frameworks were key, not top-down financing by the public sector.
Climate finance is different from those instances, given the vast spillover harm inherent in emissions and the risks of clean technology. Nonetheless, the role of grass-roots financing should be capitalised on.
The nature and even the extent of climate finance can also be influenced by giving greater play to nature-based solutions defined by the International Union for Conservation of Nature as “actions to protect, sustainably manage, and restore natural or modified ecosystems”.
One example of such an initiative is the East Asian-Australasian Flyway. The flyway, one of the world’s greatest bird migration routes, utilises nature-based solutions that are also climate-friendly. The Philippines is also trying to employ nature-friendly solutions to mitigate flood risks in six river basins.
In line with the agenda for COP28, Southeast Asia needs to mobilise sizable resources to tackle mitigation and adaptation needs. Even though climate change is a pressing problem, policymakers are stretched by other urgent priorities and have to tackle multiple issues, such as food insecurity and healthcare.
Given such competing priorities, the urgency of climate action seems to take a back seat in the eyes of politicians and the public. But given the escalating climate catastrophe and its sizeable financing requirements, it will take a combination of avenues – domestic funding, multilateral support, carbon markets, private-sector engagement, and grass-roots financing – to bridge the gap.
fulcrum.sg
Related Knowledge Center: Climate economics
Climate change is now a driver of the world’s economy. The impact is profound:
- Catastrophic weather events — hurricanes, floods, droughts, high temperatures — are more frequent and more extreme. The cost can be measured in both the initial damage caused and the longer-term impact on the economy.
- Vulnerable communities are increasing climate-related investments, hardening infrastructure and taking other protective measures.
- Investment in carbon capture and storage technologies is increasingly rapidly.
- Governments are making investments and crafting regulations to reduce emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases.
On top of all of this is the cost of uncertainty. As the Fourth National Climate Assessment, released in 2018 by the U.S. Global Change Research Program, says, “The assumption that current and future climate conditions will resemble the recent past is no longer valid.”